Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 44.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.