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May 24, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Union La Calera
3 - 2
U. Catolica
Cavalleri (6'), Saez (28'), Vidangossy (72')
Castellani (57'), Garrido (76'), Wiemberg (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Clavijo (38'), Rivas (88' pen.)
Ordonez (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Union La Calera 2-1 Universidad Catolica

While their opponents have nothing to play for, Union La Calera will be motivated to pick up the three points that could help them reach the knockout round, and we think that they will do just that by utilising home advantage to clinch a potentially crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawUniversidad Catolica
46.9% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 28.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)83.41%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)27.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.21% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.47% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 46.9%
    Universidad Catolica 24.34%
    Draw 28.76%
Union La CaleraDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 15.36%
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.34%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Union La Calera
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Banfield 0-1 Union La Calera
Friday, May 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union La Calera 1-1 Santos
Friday, April 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union La Calera 1-0 Banfield
Thursday, April 14 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Union La Calera
Tuesday, April 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-1 Santos
Friday, May 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 2-0 Banfield
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 3-2 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 13 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Union La Calera
Tuesday, April 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: The Strongest 2-1 U. Catolica
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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