Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 1-0 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
