Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.