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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 28, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
1 - 1
River Plate

Hernandez (34')
Andrade (7'), Perlaza (19'), Quintana (45+5')
Mosquera (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salaberry (69')
Rodriguez (45'), Salaberry (59'), Ospitaleche (66'), Bonifazi (83'), N. Borbas Silva (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawRiver Plate
46.93%26.57%26.5%
Both teams to score 48.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28%55.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14%76.86%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13%57.87%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58%36.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79%73.21%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 46.93%
    River Plate 26.5%
    Draw 26.56%
Atletico NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.5%


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