River Plate
4 - 0
Danubio

Calzada (15'), Arezo (17', 25'), Olivera (90+1')
Leites (16'), Bonifazi (45')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mercado (51'), Pantaleone (66'), Mendez (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Danubio
32.94%	28.26%	38.8%

Both teams to score 46.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56%

59.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19%

79.81%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5%

33.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87%

70.14%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25%

29.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19%

65.82%

Score Analysis

River Plate 32.94%

Danubio 38.8%

Draw 28.26%

River Plate	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.26%	0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.8%