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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Oct 6, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Gonzalez (83')
Ospitaleche (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Quintana (71')
Redin (16'), Verdun (32'), Perez (64'), Gravi (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
35.35%28.86%35.79%
Both teams to score 45.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65%61.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.75%81.25%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57%69.43%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89%69.11%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 35.35%
    Plaza Colonia 35.78%
    Draw 28.86%
River PlateDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.78%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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