Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.