SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 35.35% | 28.86% | 35.79% |
| Both teams to score 45.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% | 61.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% | 81.25% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% | 32.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.89% | 69.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.73% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.78% |
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