Progreso
1 - 2
River Plate

Viega (62')
Platero (27')
Silva (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gonzalez (45+1'), N. Borbas Silva (85')
Rodriguez (25')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Progreso	Draw	River Plate
37.36%	27.7%	34.94%

Both teams to score 48.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85%

57.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.99%

78.01%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52%

29.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51%

65.48%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02%

30.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71%

67.28%

Score Analysis

Progreso 37.35%

River Plate 34.94%

Draw 27.7%

Progreso	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.35%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.94%