Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Audax Italiano and Bolivar.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Audax Italiano in this match.