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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Audax
2 - 1
Bolivar

Orellana (15'), Andres Ramirez (84')
Cabrera (2'), Fernandez (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saavedra (23' pen.)
Flores (81')
Rojas (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Audax Italiano and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Audax Italiano in this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawBolivar
44.51%23.49%32%
Both teams to score 62.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39%39.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05%61.95%
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86%18.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9%49.09%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74%24.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39%58.61%
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 44.51%
    Bolivar 32%
    Draw 23.48%
Audax ItalianoDrawBolivar
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-1 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32%


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