Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Audax Italiano in this match.
