Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.