SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nublense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Nublense |
53.63% ( 0.23) | 25.72% ( -0.15) | 20.65% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% ( 0.43) | 57.39% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% ( 0.34) | 78.21% ( -0.33) |
| Audax Italiano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.27) | 21.47% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( 0.41) | 54.51% ( -0.41) |
| Nublense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.16) | 42.93% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% ( 0.14) | 79.23% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Nublense |
| 1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.65% |
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