SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Audax Italiano had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Audax Italiano win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Audax Italiano |
60.29% ( 0.09) | 24.81% ( -0.06) | 14.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.85% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.7% ( 0.16) | 61.3% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.78% ( 0.12) | 81.22% ( -0.12) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.1) | 20.37% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.16) | 52.78% ( -0.16) |
| Audax Italiano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.53% ( 0.05) | 52.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.69% ( 0.04) | 86.31% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Audax Italiano |
| 1-0 @ 17% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 60.29% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.9% |
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