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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
N

Racing
4 - 0
Nublense

Rojas (50'), Hauche (54'), Moreno (71'), Piovi (86')
Rojas (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leiva (6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aucas 0-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Racing Club 1-1 Nublense

With Racing likely to rest a few key players given their disappointing position in Argentina's Primera Division, we believe that Nublense have a chance of pulling off an upset on Thursday. However, they may fall just short of grabbing the win which they require in the end, although in truth even that would be unlikely to take them through to the knockout stages in any case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawNublense
71.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04) 18.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 9.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.37% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (0.050000000000004 0.05)48.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.048000000000002 0.05)70.37% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.12% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31% (0.056000000000004 0.06)37.69% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)86.6%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 71.66%
    Nublense 9.94%
    Draw 18.38%
Racing ClubDrawNublense
2-0 @ 14.28%
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.38%
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Racing
Tuesday, June 13 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Banfield
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Racing
Sunday, May 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aucas 0-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nublense 1-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nublense 2-1 Aucas
Tuesday, May 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Nublense
Thursday, April 20 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nublense 0-2 Racing
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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