Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Nublense win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
1.1) 
-1.61) 
