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B
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
E

Bragantino
2 - 0
Emelec

Bruno (29'), Artur (82')
Barbieri (58'), Claudinho (84'), Schwengber (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sosa (68'), Mejia (71'), Rodriguez (75')
Leguizamon (57')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Emelec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Emelec win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawEmelec
40.16%24.72%35.13%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48%44.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11%66.89%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.52%
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65%59.35%
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 40.16%
    Emelec 35.13%
    Draw 24.72%
BragantinoDrawEmelec
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.13%

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