Tolima
1 - 1
Emelec

Mosquera (22' pen.)
Campaz (12'), Balanta (45+1'), Narvaez (46'), David Rios (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zapata (41')
Arroyo (52'), Caicedo (68'), Rodriguez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportes Tolima and Emelec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Deportes Tolima	Draw	Emelec
39.56%	26.75%	33.69%

Both teams to score 51.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.41%

53.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.9%

75.1%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48%

26.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28%

61.72%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98%

30.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86%

66.14%

Score Analysis

Deportes Tolima 39.56%

Emelec 33.69%

Draw 26.74%

Deportes Tolima	Draw	Emelec
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.69%