Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
