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C
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
P

Corinthians
0 - 2
Penarol


Santos (19'), Gil (25'), Cantillo (63'), Mendez (64'), Otero (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (13'), Terans (56')
Acosta (35'), Kagelmacher (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawPenarol
51.67%27.42%20.91%
Both teams to score 40.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33%62.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77%82.22%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91%59.08%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26%45.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48%81.51%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 51.66%
    Penarol 20.91%
    Draw 27.41%
CorinthiansDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 15.77%
2-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 4.05%
4-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.91%

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