Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Sport Huancayo win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.