River Plate
2 - 1
Penarol

Garcete (10'), Caballero (90+3')
Molinas (51'), Gonzalez (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (54')
Alvarez (47'), Gargano (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Penarol
46.81%	25.24%	27.95%

Both teams to score 53.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4%

49.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38%

71.62%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79%

21.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91%

54.09%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68%

32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54%

68.46%

Score Analysis

River Plate 46.81%

Penarol 27.95%

Draw 25.24%

River Plate	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.5% Total : 46.81%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.95%