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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 27, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
VD

Defensa
1 - 1
Vasco

Romero (80')
Frias (60'), Acevedo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cano (63')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Defensa y Justicia and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVasco da Gama
44.75%28.09%27.16%
Both teams to score 44.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.29%60.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23%80.77%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.43%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38%38.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64%75.35%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 44.74%
    Vasco da Gama 27.16%
    Draw 28.08%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.65%
2-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 8.49%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 44.74%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 27.16%


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