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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2020 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
I

Defensa
0 - 0
Independiente


Acevedo (39'), Frias (44'), Paredes (89')
FT

Rodriguez (27'), Barboza (37'), Franco (57'), Romero (78')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
47.23%27.6%25.17%
Both teams to score 44.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.83%60.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64%80.36%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43%25.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56%60.43%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94%40.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3%76.7%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 47.22%
    Independiente 25.17%
    Draw 27.6%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.96%
2-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.72%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 25.17%


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