Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.