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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
VD

Caracas
0 - 0
Vasco


Rivero (2'), Villanueva (56')
Villanueva (67')
FT

Benitez (17'), Castan (30'), Andrey (43'), Graca (54')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Caracas and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawVasco da Gama
26.14%27.98%45.87%
Both teams to score 44.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.14%60.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.11%80.88%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.43%39.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.74%76.25%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23%61.76%
Score Analysis
    Caracas 26.14%
    Vasco da Gama 45.87%
    Draw 27.97%
CaracasDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 5.99%
2-0 @ 4.52%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 26.14%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-3 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.35%
1-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.87%


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