Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Coquimbo Unido had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Coquimbo Unido win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
