With so much left to play for, both Emelec and Guarani are expected to be fully up for the clash as they look to secure a place in the knockout phase. We expect an entertaining affair with high attacking endeavour and a narrow win for the hosts in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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