Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Guarani | Draw | Emelec |
38.82% ( -0.09) | 26.77% ( -0.08) | 34.4% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.41% ( 0.35) | 53.58% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.91% ( 0.29) | 75.09% ( -0.3) |
Guarani Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( 0.11) | 26.92% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( 0.15) | 62.25% ( -0.15) |
Emelec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( 0.28) | 29.55% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( 0.34) | 65.57% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Guarani | Draw | Emelec |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.4% |
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