Their form domestically has dropped a little of late, but Fogo have reacted well when faced with a setback, while managing to salvage their share of results, and the Guarani defensive issues of late have us leaning towards the Brazilians advancing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guarani win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.