Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.28%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.99%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.1) 
