SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Huracan |
39.86% ( -2.15) | 26.47% ( -0.13) | 33.66% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( 1.09) | 52.48% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( 0.92) | 74.15% ( -0.92) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.64) | 25.84% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( -0.87) | 60.8% ( 0.87) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 2.07) | 29.48% ( -2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( 2.46) | 65.49% ( -2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.66% |
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