SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Huracan |
41.01% ( 0.61) | 28.55% ( -0.05) | 30.44% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% ( 0.01) | 61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% ( 0.01) | 80.99% ( -0.01) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.36) | 29.23% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( 0.43) | 65.18% ( -0.43) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( -0.42) | 36.14% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( -0.43) | 72.92% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.44% |
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