SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | San Lorenzo |
53.74% ( -0.42) | 27.36% ( 0.07) | 18.9% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 38.59% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.14) | 64.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.62% ( 0.1) | 83.38% ( -0.1) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.13) | 24.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% ( -0.18) | 58.77% ( 0.18) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.51) | 48.98% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.06% ( 0.36) | 83.94% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 16.85% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.9% |
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