Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Athletico Paranaense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
