Penarol
2 - 1
Progreso

Formiliano (56'), Gonzalez (69')
Piquerez (71'), Alvarez (84')
Alvarez (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alles (84' pen.)
Loffreda (33'), Andrada (55'), Marta (85'), Platero (88')
Andrada (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Progreso
49.49%	25.98%	24.53%

Both teams to score 48.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.12%

54.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.83%

76.17%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79%

22.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37%

55.63%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.33%

37.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.55%

74.45%

Score Analysis

Penarol 49.48%

Progreso 24.53%

Draw 25.98%

Penarol	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 3% Total : 49.48%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.53%