SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.31%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Belgrano |
46% ( 0.21) | 30.39% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 36.92% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.81% ( 0.29) | 69.19% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.29% ( 0.18) | 86.71% ( -0.19) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( 0.26) | 30.58% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( 0.31) | 66.81% ( -0.31) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.18% ( 0.09) | 46.82% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.65% ( 0.07) | 82.35% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.96% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.99% | 0-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 30.38% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.61% |
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