SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.13%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Belgrano |
44.13% ( -0.02) | 29.47% ( 0) | 26.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.87% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( 0.01) | 65.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.86% ( 0) | 84.13% ( -0.01) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.01) | 29.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.01) | 65.68% ( 0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.02) | 41.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% ( 0.02) | 78.36% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 15.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 12.42% 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.46% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.16% Total : 26.4% |
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