SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
45.8% ( -0) | 24.36% ( -0) | 29.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.03) | 44.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.03) | 67.09% ( -0.03) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.01) | 19.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( 0.02) | 51.63% ( -0.02) |
| Oriente Petrolero Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.02) | 28.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( 0.03) | 63.83% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Junior | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.8% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.84% |
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