Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Sol de America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sol de America had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Sol de America win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.