Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Cienciano Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.08) 
