Independiente
4 - 0
Universitario

Sanchez (45+3', 73'), Murillo (61'), Ortiz (85')
Caicedo (33'), Landazuri (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murrugarra (10'), Barreto (23')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Universitario, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del Valle	Draw	Universitario
55.65%	25.98%	18.37%

Both teams to score 41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.35%

60.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.27%

80.73%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03%

21.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73%

55.27%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.55%

47.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.18%

82.82%

Score Analysis

Independiente del Valle 55.64%

Universitario 18.37%

Draw 25.97%

Independiente del Valle	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 15.79% 2-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.72% Total : 55.64%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 3.33% Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.37%