Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.