Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Cienciano had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cienciano win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Cienciano
48.71%	24.31%	26.97%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69%

46.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4%

68.59%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92%

19.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31%

50.68%

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97%

31.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66%

67.33%

Score Analysis

Melgar 48.72%

Cienciano 26.97%

Draw 24.31%

Melgar	Draw	Cienciano
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.72%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.97%