Last Game: Melgar 1-0 Cienciano Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Cienciano had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cienciano win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.
