Vasco
0 - 1
Defensa

Torres (9'), Benitez (19'), Ribamar (30'), Junior (67'), Juninho (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hachen (59')
Hachen (56'), Paredes (82'), Romero (90+7'), Merentiel (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Vasco da Gama and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
34.73%	28.72%	36.54%

Both teams to score 45.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.11%

60.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.09%

80.91%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38%

69.62%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14%

31.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7%

68.3%

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 34.73%

Defensa y Justicia 36.53%

Draw 28.72%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.53%