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Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Nov 30, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio São Januário
C

Vasco
1 - 4
Ceara

Ribamar (65' pen.)
Gil (29'), Bastos (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Naressi (4'), Cleber (26'), Saulo (79'), Vinicius (89' pen.)
Otavio (63')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Ceara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawCeara
37.57%30.36%32.07%
Both teams to score 40.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.61%66.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.15%84.85%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93%34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24%70.75%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11%37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34%74.66%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 37.56%
    Ceara 32.06%
    Draw 30.35%
Vasco da GamaDrawCeara
1-0 @ 13.89%
2-0 @ 7.48%
2-1 @ 7.26%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.9%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.35%
0-1 @ 12.52%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 32.06%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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