Wilstermann
3 - 1
Penarol

Melgar (11' pen.), Rodriguez (45', 53')
Montero (12'), Justiniano (67')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Formiliano (3')
Terans (52'), Xisco (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Jorge Wilstermann and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jorge Wilstermann would win this match.

Result
Jorge Wilstermann	Draw	Penarol
44.9%	26.87%	28.23%

Both teams to score 48.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1%

55.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99%

77.01%

Jorge Wilstermann Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21%

24.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63%

59.37%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89%

35.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14%

71.86%

Score Analysis

Jorge Wilstermann 44.9%

Penarol 28.23%

Draw 26.87%

Jorge Wilstermann	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.23%