Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
