Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match.
