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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 25, 2021 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
4 - 0
Arsenal

Gamba (8', 10', 33'), Ruben (16')
Covea (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Ortiz (60')
Ortiz (73')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
51.11%24.16%24.72%
Both teams to score 54.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.55%47.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33%69.66%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43%18.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16%49.84%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56%33.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93%70.07%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 51.11%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.73%
    Draw 24.16%
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.73%

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