Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 40.29%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 28.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.07%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.