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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 15, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
I

Rosario
1 - 2
Independiente

Russo Cordero (79')
Garay (25'), Torrent (27'), Leonardo Luques (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romero (26', 45+2')
Manuel Insaurralde (37'), Velasco (82')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
39.56%27.63%32.81%
Both teams to score 48.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8%28.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1%63.9%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 39.55%
    Independiente 32.8%
    Draw 27.63%
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.8%

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