Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.