Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.