Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
